| title | Standing confrontation with experiment |
|---|---|
| axis | experimental |
| status | active |
| opened | 2026-06-11 |
| updated | 2026-06-11 |
Statement. Keep the frozen predictions exposed to scheduled data, record every verdict, and never move a goalpost.
Why it matters. This is the axis where the program has the fewest levers and the most to prove: nothing here can be worked on, only awaited honestly. It is also where progressive and degenerating programs part ways.
Known constraints. The predictions are frozen and dated; the data arrives on external calendars (global neutrino fits roughly every one to two years, the Hyper-Kamiokande and DUNE oscillation experiments in the late 2020s to mid 2030s). One prediction is currently in tension (the theta23 upper-octant bet, with the global best fit presently in the lower octant and the octant unresolved), one returned to agreement without being touched (delta_CP after the latest fit), one is standing (three generations).
Next step. Maintain CONFRONTATIONS.md as the single scoreboard; add each new fit release as a dated entry, favorable or not.